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Daily Market Commentary



Monday, August 06, 2007


Trading Education Tutorial

Pattern Cycles: Reversals

No chart pattern better illustrates this slow evolution from bull market to bear decline than the Descending Triangle. Within this simple structure, the trader examines how life drains slowly from a dynamic uptrend. Variations of this destructive formation precede more breakdowns than any other reversal. And they can be found doing their dirty deeds in all time frames and all markets.


But why does it work with such deadly accuracy? Most traders don't understand how or why patterns predict outcomes. Some even believe these important tools rely on mysticism or convenient curve fitting. The simple truth is more powerful: congestion patterns reflect the impact of crowd psychology on changes in price and momentum...


Read More...

 

 


Trading Ideas & Picks

Weekly Swing Ideas Report for JAugust 6th - August 10th

Stock Picks - Long and Short Potential Swing Candidates ... SwingTracker Scans: Trading Window (BOBJ BUSINESS OBJECTS, KCI KINETIC CONCEPTS INC, NFS NATIONWIDE FINL SVCS INC, BMS BEMIS INC, FOXH FOXHOLLOW TECHNOLOGIES INC), Force Swings, Triangle, Revival, Reversals, Breakouts (ALKS ALKERMES INC, MZZ PROSHARES TR, IEF ISHARES TR), and more...

Trading Ideas - Read More

 

 

Trading Ideas & Picks

The Weekly Report for August 6th - August 10th - Subprime Problems Continue

 

The upward diverging moving averages are still suggesting that the longer-term momentum may still be on the side of the bulls. The Rusell's relatively low RSI value is currently suggesting that the index may start to experience some buying pressure as the bulls look to enter at a spot that gives them a favorable risk/reward ratio...

 

Trading Picks - Read More

 

 

Daily Stock Picks

Bottoming -

August 3 for August 6:
AGII CBHI CNIC DDDC DUSA GSIT IFUL KONG LDIS PABK PEET PGTI RTSX RUTH


(
Stocks making a 52 WK low but closing higher than they opened)

Oversold Stocks -


August 3 for August 6:
ACOR CLUB UTEK

(Stocks closing higher than they opened, crossing up through their 25 Stochastic level, and on 150% + greater than average 6 month volume)


Volume Pop -


August 3 for August 6:
ALVR CLUB EXPE HTCH OIIM


(Volume Pop With High ADX & RSI)


More... Stock Picks Page #1

 


Technical Indicators

Moving Average, Triple Exponential

The Triple Exponential Moving Average (TRIX) is an oscillator used to identify oversold and overbought markets as well as a momentum indicator. For use as an oscillator look for a positive value to indicate an overbought market and a negative value indicate an oversold market. When TRIX is used as a momentum indicator, a positive value suggests increasing momentum just as a negative value suggests momentum is decreasing. Some believe that the TRIX crossing above the zero line is a buy signal and a closing below the zero line is a sell signal. Divergence between price and TRIX can also indicate significant turning points in the market.

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Profits Run presents:

"Choosing a Trading System That Actually Works"


E-book with specific steps that you can take to quickly and efficiently analyze any trading system on the market. Armed with this knowledge, you'll be in a better position to determine if a trading system actually has the potential to work for you.

For 48 hours only, you can download the full 'Choosing a Trading System That Actually Works' eBook by going to this link:


- Choosing a Trading System That Actually Works

 


Trading Education Tutorial
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Fibonacci Retracement Levels





Using Retracement Levels in Your Trading

Fibonacci Retracement Levels are one of the most powerful (and underused) tools available to traders. These measurements are of great use with any market that is reasonably liquid. Many technicians have noted that markets tend to reverse or consolidate once they reach one of these ratio levels (measured from the distance of the previous trends reversal). They can used as entry levels, exit levels and even as a money management tool.


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NASDAQ Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems


OIIM may have topped out with a volume climax and could fill the potential exhaustion gap soon. These patterns indicate a likely decline from these levels, especially if 13.20 is crossed.


Daily Trading Signals

 


NYSE Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems


SYX has formed a potentially bearish pennant consolidation that could offer a big move to the downside. A break through 18.75 could spark heavy selling pressure.


Daily Trading Signals

 


Daily Market Commentary
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Updated Friday, 8/3 for Monday's market.

Key DOW Levels for 8/6

UP

Above 13,525

DN

Below 13,150


Heavy Selling...

- Dow sells off heavily from 13,500, drops over 300 points from highs. The index closed the session with a 200 point freefall and is now holding above prior support at 13,150, which is a key level to watch Monday.


- The NASDAQ and S&P each sold off heavily into the afternoon with the S&P actually hitting new lows within the bearish downtrend. Look for more overall selling ahead, especially if the upper trend lines remain intact.


Summary

The Dow ended the day with a heavy decline and continues to honor the 13,500 resistance level, which is quite bearish. Look for continued overall weakness beneath this zone, especially if 13,150 is crossed.


Read More...

 


P.S. - Swing Trading is the art of capturing profits in trending stocks in a relatively short amount of time. Millennium Trading offers Swing & Day Trading Strategies for the full or part-time trader. » Get More Info Now!


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