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Daily Market Commentary



Wednesday, August 29, 2007


Technical Indicators

Zig Zag

The Zig Zag indicator shows past performance trends and only the most significant changes. It does this by filtering out any changes less than a specified amount.


The Zig Zag indicator is used primarily to help you see changes by highlighting the most significant reversals. Understand that the last segment in a Zig Zag chart can change based on changes in the underlying plot, price being only one example. That is, a change in a security's price can change a previous value of the indicator. Since the Zig Zag indicator adjusts its values based on subsequent changes, it has perfect hindsight into what prices have done. Do not try to create a trading system based on the Zig Zag indicator, as it to be used to illustrate historical patterns.


The Zig Zag indicator is calculated by placing imaginary points on a chart when prices reverse by at least the specified amount. Straight lines are then drawn to connect these imaginary points. Any changes in prices that are less than the specified amount are ignored.

 

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Trading Education Tutorial
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Trading Ranges




Big Moves Occur Outside of the Range

A trading range is basically a horizontal channel in which a security moves from the high and low of the channel for an extended amount of time. Obviously, the upper level of the range can be considered resistance and the lower level represents support. Trading within a range is possible, but it's the breakout from the range that provides the best opportunities.


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NASDAQ Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems


ALXN is testing support at 56.50, which happens to be the neck line of a clear head and shoulders pattern, which is typically a very bearish pattern. Look for more weakness should 55.25 be crossed.


Daily Trading Signals

 


NYSE Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems


RRI has formed a large head-and-shoulders pattern that could spark a big decline ahead. This pattern has formed at highs over the last several months, developing a clear neck line at 23.65. A break through this zone could spark a sell-off of about 7 points.


Daily Trading Signals

 


Daily Market Commentary
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Updated Tuesday, 8/28 for Wednesday's market.

Key DOW Levels for 8/29

UP

Above 13,400

DN

Below 13,000


Heavy Sell-Off...

- Dow sells off early, drops hard into the Close. From prior commentary, "...The fact that the Dow has rallied from 12,500 and stopped precisely at this upper line indicates many traders are watching this level. If the Dow cannot rise above this zone with follow-through, we will likely see another wave of selling to new lows..."


The Dow opened the session with selling right from the beginning, which never let up the rest of the session, as seen across all timeframes. The Dow dropped significantly from the major upper trend line at 13,400 and sold off heavily back toward the 13,300 level, as seen int he Daily and 60 Minute Charts. The Dow ended the day with a big 280 point loss, but several more days of heavy selling could be seen.


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