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Daily Market Commentary



Tuesday, February 06, 2007


Technical Indicators

Directional Movement Index (ADX)

Directional Movement helps determine if a security is "trending." Developed by Welles Wilder and explained in his book, New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems, it can be used either as a system on its own or as a filter on a trend-following system.


Two lines are generated in a DMI study, +DI and -DI. The first line measures positive (upward) movement and the second number measures negative (downward) movement. A buy signal is given when the +DI line crosses over the - DI line while a sell signal is generated when the +DI line crosses below the - DI line.

 

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Trading Tools

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NASDAQ Chart of the Day


GOOG got a big downside break from the large triangle range at 480.00 today and is poised to head much lower. Given the geometry of the triangle, this stock could move about 60 points from the breakout point, which puts the target at about 420.00.


Daily Trading Signals

 


NYSE Chart of the Day


UCO got a big upside break through a major resistance level at 65.40 via a large breakaway gap and increased volume. Look for more strength from this stock above 65.40.


Daily Trading Signals

 


Daily Market Commentary

Updated Monday, 2/5 for Tuesday's market.

Key DOW Levels for 2/6

P

Above 12,700

DN

Below 12,620


Still Holding...

- Dow trades quietly sideways throughout session, builds out tight consolidation. The index has done a good job so far in holding above the major 12,600 resistance level, but we also need to see more bullish movement ahead. Otherwise, the index is still vulnerable to another potential sell-off.


- The NASDAQ and S&P each continue to hold within their respective consolidation ranges. Each looks to be gearing up for another big move, but look as though they are favoring a downside break. Watch the current ranges for key direction tomorrow.


Summary

The Dow continues to hold at the overall highs above the key 12,600 resistance level. The index has managed to hold above this zone for three straight days, which is promising looking forward. Continue to watch the key 12,620 zone for clear direction.


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