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Daily Market Commentary



Monday, February 12, 2007


Technical Indicators

TRIX - Triple Exponential Moving Average

The Triple Exponential Moving Average (TRIX) is an oscillator used to identify oversold and overbought markets as well as a momentum indicator. For use as an oscillator look for a positive value to indicate an overbought market and a negative value indicate an oversold market. When TRIX is used as a momentum indicator, a positive value suggests increasing momentum just as a negative value suggests momentum is decreasing. Some believe that the TRIX crossing above the zero line is a buy signal and a closing below the zero line is a sell signal. Divergence between price and TRIX can also indicate significant turning points in the market.


Two advantages of TRIX over other trend indicators is its filtration of market noise and a tendency to be a leading rather than a lagging indicator. By using triple exponential smoothing, "insignificant" cycles are filtered out. It can lead a market because it measures the difference between each bar's smoothed version of the price information. When used as a leading indicator, TRIX is best used in conjunction with another market-timing indicator so as to reduce false signals...

 

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Trading Ideas & Picks

The QQQQ Report for February 12th - February 16th

QQQQ: Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator's negative divergence continues to be a factor that is causing many traders to question the conviction of the longer-term uptrend. We believe that the 100 DMA is still an adequate short-term target as the QQQQ continues its consolidation...

 

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Trading Ideas & Picks

Weekly Swing Ideas Report for February 12th - February 16th

Stock Picks - Long and Short Potential Swing Candidates ... SwingTracker Scans: Trading Window, Force Swings (GLW,Corning Inc, LLY,Lilly (Eli), TEX,Terex Corp, MHS,Medco Health Solutions, TXU,TXU Corp), Triangle (SLE,Sara Lee Corp, AN,AutoNation Inc, TZOO,Travelzoo Inc), Revival, Reversals (CWTR,Coldwater Creek, ZQK,Quiksilver, Inc), and more...

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Trading Education Tutorial

Fibonacci Retracement Levels





Using Retracement Levels in Your Trading

Fibonacci Retracement Levels are one of the most powerful (and underused) tools available to traders. These measurements are of great use with any market that is reasonably liquid..


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NASDAQ Chart of the Day


UNTD got a big downside break through the lower trend line at 13.70 via a breakaway gap. Look for more downside pressure ahead.


Daily Trading Signals

 


NYSE Chart of the Day


COT has formed a bullish saucer pattern at the lows of the recent decline and is now breaking this range to the upside at 14.70. Watch for continued strength to the upside.


Daily Trading Signals

 


Daily Market Commentary

Updated Friday, 2/9 for Monday's market.

Key DOW Levels for 2/12

P

Above 12,700

DN

Below 12,525


Big Sell-Off...

- Dow opens session quietly, eventually drops over 100 points from the day's highs. The index got a nice bounce to the Close and settled the day with a 57 point loss, but much more selling could be ahead.


- The NASDAQ and S&P each pushed lower early in the day, but led nice upside reversals to the Close. Look for the indexes to continue to build out at highs ahead of the next key breakout move.


Summary

The Dow closed the day with a modest bounce higher, but that was only a fraction of the decline that preceded it. The index could be on the verge of a much bigger sell-off ahead, especially if the it takes out 12,525 with force.


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