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Daily Market Commentary



Wednesday, July 11, 2007


Technical Indicators

Momentum Indicator

 

TBy measuring the amount that a security's price has changed over a given time span, the Momentum indicator provides an indication of a market's velocity and to some degree, a measure of the extent to which a trend still holds true. It can also be helpful in spotting likely reversal points.


While the mathematics are straightforward (subtract the closing price n days ago from the closing price today), do not underrate its value because of its simplicity.


Use the Momentum indicator as a trend-following oscillator similar to the MACD and buy when the indicator bottoms and turns up. Sell when the indicator peaks and turns down. When the Momentum indicator reaches extremely high or low values (relative to historical values) assume a continuation of the current trend...

 

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Trading Education Tutorial
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Saucer Patterns





Rare Pattern Is One of the Most Predictive

One of the most predicitive chart patterns you will come across is the saucer pattern. Saucers are also referred to as "bowls" or even "rounded tops or bottoms", and one look at this pattern tells where these names are derived from. However, there is a problem with saucer patterns - they're hard to find.


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Trading Education Tutorial
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Double Tops and Bottoms




Waiting for the Setup to Complete Results in Profits

There are various chart patterns that help us find good reversal candidates. Of the major reversal patterns, the double top or bottom is not only one of the most recognizable, but also one of the most predictive.


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NASDAQ Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems


After strong upward gap at the end of April, MSFT has met resistance forming a lower high at the end of May. A break of the critical 29 level should send this stock back to around 27 or lower.


Daily Trading Signals

 


NYSE Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems


MMM is nearing the end of a well formed ascending triangle. Any penetration of the 89 level will likely trigger a run to new highs. A downside break of support around 84 could easily set off a retracement to the 77 range.


Daily Trading Signals

 


Daily Market Commentary
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Updated Tuesday, 7/10 for Wednesday's market.

Key DOW Levels for 7/11

UP

Above 13,700

DN

Below 13,250


Reversal from Resistance...

- Dow sells off from resistance, drops 148 points.

- From prior commentary, "...The Dow will likely test this zone very soon, which will give us a very good indication that the Dow will either remain strong or get a bearish bounce...a failure at this level will likely cause another drop back toward the bottom of the range at around 13,300..."

The Dow opened the day with a big decline from the major 13,700 resistance level today and proceeded to drop the rest of the session, as seen in the 15 and 60 Minute Charts. The Dow sold off heavily into the afternoon and eventually closed with a big 148 point loss, but more weakness is likely.

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P.S. - Swing Trading is the art of capturing profits in trending stocks in a relatively short amount of time. Millennium Trading offers Swing & Day Trading Strategies for the full or part-time trader. » Get More Info Now!


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