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Daily Market Commentary



Thursday, June 21, 2007


Trading Ideas & Picks

American Electric Power Co- AEP - Testing the support levels


AEP - Today's decline was stopped by the combined support of the 200-day moving average and a twelve-month trendline. Technical traders will keep a close eye on this stock at current levels because two consecutive closes below the mentioned support will cause many speculators to lower their price targets to $38.50...

 

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Trading Ideas & Picks

Swing Trade of the Week

INSP: Stock's bearish gap down in mid May put this stock into a downtrend. Stock has since rallied up to the downtrending MAs where it has found initial resistance. Look to go short at 22.89...

 

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Technical Indicators

Zig Zag

The Zig Zag indicator shows past performance trends and only the most significant changes. It does this by filtering out any changes less than a specified amount.


The Zig Zag indicator is used primarily to help you see changes by highlighting the most significant reversals. Understand that the last segment in a Zig Zag chart can change based on changes in the underlying plot, price being only one example. That is, a change in a security's price can change a previous value of the indicator. Since the Zig Zag indicator adjusts its values based on subsequent changes, it has perfect hindsight into what prices have done. Do not try to create a trading system based on the Zig Zag indicator, as it to be used to illustrate historical patterns.

The Zig Zag indicator is calculated by placing imaginary points on a chart when prices reverse by at least the specified amount. Straight lines are then drawn to connect these imaginary points. Any changes in prices that are less than the specified amount are ignored.

 

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Trading Education Tutorial
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Trendline Breaks






When is a Trend Truly Broken?

The importance of trendlines cannot be overstated when it comes to technical analysis. We are told to trade with the primary trend, exit when the trend reverses, enter on trend reversals, and so on. Trends are easy enough to identify, but when is a trend actually broken?


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NASDAQ Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems


FTEK took a big upside break through major resistance at 30.00, which had held firmly over the last five months. This breakout could spark much more strength ahead, especially if 30.00 remains in tact.


Daily Trading Signals

 


NYSE Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems


BW has taken a big breakaway gap to the downside through the bottom of a clear triangle range on increased volume, which is a bearish combination. Look for more weakness from this stock, likely back toward the 31.00 range.


Daily Trading Signals

 


Daily Market Commentary
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Updated Wednesday, 6/20 for Thursday's market.

Key DOW Levels for 6/21

UP

Above 13,700

DN

Below 13,400


Late-Day Sell-Off...

- Dow holds within consolidation throughout session, but sells off late in the day. The index finally got a big downside break from the pattern at 13,570 and dropped hard to the Close for an eventual 146 point loss.


- The NASDAQ and S&P each broke clear ranges to the downside late in the day, making key selling pressure. Watch for more weakness beneath the bottom of these ranges.


Summary

The Dow ended the day with clear selling pressure after breaking the key consolidation to the downside. More downside movement could be seen within the larger range, but watch 13,600 for any snap-back reactions.


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P.S. - Swing Trading is the art of capturing profits in trending stocks in a relatively short amount of time. Millennium Trading offers Swing & Day Trading Strategies for the full or part-time trader. » Get More Info Now!


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