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Daily Market Commentary



Tuesday, March 13, 2007


Trading Education Tutorial
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Trendlines




Determining Market Reversals and Continuations

Trendlines are perhaps the oldest tools known to chartists. Trendlines form across peaks and valleys called pivot points - relative highs and lows in a chart. As more points form along a line, it becomes more "established". This means that, when the line is broken, it will likely follow through with a strong move in the new direction.


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NASDAQ Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems




FRED has reached major resistance yet again at around 15.20, as this level has been a major hurdle for the stock for a year. Watch for another round of selling to arise from this zone, unless resistance can finally be broken.

Daily Trading Signals

 


NYSE Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems


PLT is getting an upside breakout through the top of a large converging range via a breakaway gap. Look for more strength out of this stock in the days to come.


Daily Trading Signals

 


Daily Market Commentary
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Updated Monday, 3/12 for Tuesday's market.

Key DOW Levels for 3/13

UP

Above 12,350

DN

Below 12,200


12,350 Holds...

- Dow rises slowly to 12,350, sells off to the Close. The index kissed the level before dropping steadily to the Close, ending the day with a 42 point gain.


- The NASDAQ and S&P each traded back and forth throughout the session and continue to build out large triangle ranges. These ranges could continue to build out ahead of a potential breakout move.


Summary

The Dow ended the day with a gain after pushing slowly higher throughout much of the session. However, the key 12,350 resistance level rejected the index again and continues to play a major role as a fulcrum. Continue to watch this zone for the next key break or bounce.


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Trading Education Tutorial
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Measured and Exhaustion Gaps





Identifiable Patterns After Confirmation Move

We have previously mentioned the three types of gaps that are of relevance to investors - the breakaway gap, the measured (or continuation) gap, and the exhaustion gap. We previously discussed the breakaway gap, but it is important to discuss the measured gap and exhaustion gap at the same time. Why? Because it is difficult to tell one from the other until after the fact.


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