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Daily Market Commentary



Wednesday, March 28, 2007


 

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Technical Indicators

Detrended Price Oscillator

The Detrended Price Oscillator is a tool that smoothes the trend in prices, allowing you to more easily identify cycles and overbought/oversold levels.


If you think of long-term cycles as made up of a series of short-term cycles, then analyzing these shorter term components can be helpful in identifying major turning points...

 

Read More...

 


Pattern Cycles: Breakouts

Significant declines evolve into long bottoms characterized by failed rallies and retesting of prior lows. As new accumulation slowly shakes out the last crowd of losers, a stock's character changes. Prices push toward the top of key resistance. Short-term relative strength improves and the chart exhibits a series of bullish price bars with closing ticks near their highs. Finally the issue begins a steady march through the wall marked with past failures.


Stocks must overcome gravity to enter new uptrends. Value players build bases but can't supply the critical force needed to fuel rallies. Fortunately, the momentum crowd arrives just in time to fill this chore. As a stock slowly rises above resistance, greed rings a loud bell and these growth players jump in all at the same time...


Read More...

 


Trading Education Tutorial
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Trendline Breaks





When is a Trend Truly Broken?

The importance of trendlines cannot be overstated when it comes to technical analysis. We are told to trade with the primary trend, exit when the trend reverses, enter on trend reversals, and so on. Trends are easy enough to identify, but when is a trend actually broken?


Read More...

 


Trading Education Tutorial
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Trendline Breaks





When is a Trend Truly Broken?

The importance of trendlines cannot be overstated when it comes to technical analysis. We are told to trade with the primary trend, exit when the trend reverses, enter on trend reversals, and so on. Trends are easy enough to identify, but when is a trend actually broken?


Read More...

 


NASDAQ Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems


ACLS has risen back to key resistance at 7.90, which has held firmly since it topped out at this level last Fall. Watch this zone for a key break or bounce for the next big move.


Daily Trading Signals

 


NYSE Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems


SPN has trended back up to critical resistance at 36.00, which has been the point of sale for traders since last Spring. If the stock cannot rise above 36.00, we could see another easy decline back toward the 28.00 level.


Daily Trading Signals

 


Daily Market Commentary
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Updated Tuesday, 3/27 for Wednesday's market.

Key DOW Levels for 3/28

UP

Above 12,525

DN

Below 12,350


Holding...

- Dow sells off early, holds near lows throughout session. The index closed just off the day's lows with a 72 point loss, but continues to build out above key resistance.


- The NASDAQ and S&P each sold off today, but continue to build out within larger consolidation ranges. Continue to watch these patterns, as a breakout could spark big directional movement.


Summary

The Dow ended the day within a tight consolidation that has formed at the day's lows from 12,380 to 12,420. Watch this zone for early direction tomorrow morning. However, a breakout from the larger consolidation will likely dictate medium term direction.


Read More...

 


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