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Daily Market Commentary



Tuesday, May 01, 2007


Technical Indicators

Rate of Change

Rate of Change

The Rate of Change is an oscillator that displays the difference between the current price and the price x-time periods ago. As prices increase, the ROC rises and as prices fall, the ROC falls. The greater the change in prices, the greater the change in the ROC.


The 10-day ROC is an excellent short - to intermediate term overbought/oversold indicator. The higher the ROC, the more overbought the security; when the ROC falls expect a rally. As with all overbought/over-sold indicators, watching for the market to start its correction before placing a trade. Often extremely overbought/oversold readings usually imply a continuation of the current trend and any overbought market may remain that way for some time.

 

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Trading Education Tutorial
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Trendline Breaks






When is a Trend Truly Broken?

The importance of trendlines cannot be overstated when it comes to technical analysis. We are told to trade with the primary trend, exit when the trend reverses, enter on trend reversals, and so on. Trends are easy enough to identify, but when is a trend actually broken?


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NASDAQ Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems


SIGM has broken the neck line of a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern at 25.00, which indicates big weakness ahead. Watch for a drop back toward the 19.50 zone, and possibly lower.


Daily Trading Signals

 


NYSE Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems



MFE looks like it may be forming a bearish volume climax after maxing out above 34.00. If the stock cannot rise back above 33.50, we could see a steady decline back toward the gap open.


Daily Trading Signals

 


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