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Daily Market Commentary



Thursday, May 24, 2007


Trading Ideas & Picks

Allegheny Technologies Inc- ATI - Ascending channel pattern


ATI - The two parallel trendlines have acted as areas of support and resistance in the past and it will be interesting to see if this story will continue. Technically speaking, the the trend is expected to remain upward until the price falls below $110.60, but we believe that a pullback may happen sooner than most expect...

 

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Trading Ideas & Picks

Swing Trade of the Week

CME: The stock entered into a Moving Average downtrend with the 20 EMA crossing over down through the 50 EMA. The stock confirmed the downtrend by reversing at the 50 EMA to move and consolidate under the 20 EMA. Go short to take advantage of the recent rise the Moving Averages in an overall downtrending stock...

 

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Five Fibonacci Tricks

Fibonacci jumped into the technical mainstream late in the bull market. Futures traders had it all to themselves until real-time software ported it over to the equity markets. Its popularity exploded as retail traders experimented with its arcane math and discovered its many virtues.


Fibonacci ratios describe the interaction between trend and countertrend markets -- 38%, 50% and 62% retracements form the primary pullback levels. Apply these percentages after a trend in either direction to predict the extent of the countertrend swing. Stretch a grid over the most obvious up or down wave, and see how percentages cross key price levels.


Convergence between pattern and retracement can point to excellent trading opportunities. Keep in mind that retracements work poorly in a vacuum. Always examine highs, lows and moving averages to confirm the importance of a specific level...


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Trading Education Tutorial
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Volume Climax





Volume Helps Identify Reversals

Various price patterns can alert us to potential reversal candidates. Trendline Breaks, Support and Resistance Levels, Fibonacci Retracement Levels and other price information are valuable in determining a change in direction for a security. However, one of the most overlooked chart patterns that help us determine reversals is not reflected in the price itself. Volume climaxes are easily identifiable and valuable in assessing a change in market sentiment.


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NASDAQ Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems


FFIV has been holding at the year's highs beneath major resistance at 80.75 since January. If FFIV cannot rise above this zone, we could see a big sell-off ahead from these levels, likely toward the year's lows.


Daily Trading Signals

 


NYSE Chart of the Day
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems



MGM took a large gap up yesterday on high volume, but hasn't been able to advance since. Given the large gap and the big spike in volume, we could see a volume climax reversal to the downside if 78.00 is crossed.


Daily Trading Signals

 


Daily Market Commentary
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems

Updated Wednesday, 5/23 for Thursday's market.

Key DOW Levels for 5/24

UP

Above 13,650

DN

Below 13,500


More Late-Day Selling....

- Dow sells off from highs, drops into the Close. The index has sold off into the Close for the third straight session, but today's decline was much steeper, which could make for more weakness ahead.


- The NASDAQ and S&P each sold off heavily from the day's highs, but each stopped at key support levels, which we will watch closely for tomorrow's movement.


Summary

The Dow closed the day with another loss of 14 points after crossing the 13,600 zone earlier in the day. Watch 13,500 closely for signs of key weakness tomorrow.


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P.S. - Swing Trading is the art of capturing profits in trending stocks in a relatively short amount of time. Millennium Trading offers Swing & Day Trading Strategies for the full or part-time trader. » Get More Info Now!


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