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Daily Market Commentary



Friday, November 03, 2006


Technical Indicators

Aroon Oscillator

Developed by Tushar Chande, the Aroon Oscillator is based upon his Aroon Indicator. Much like the Aroon Indicator, the Aroon Oscillator measures the strength of a trend.


The Aroon Oscillator is constructed by subtracting Aroon Down from Aroon Up. Since Aroon Up and Aroon Down oscillate between 0 and +100, the Aroon Oscillator oscillates between -100 and +100 with zero as the center crossover line. The Aroon Oscillator signals an uptrend if it is moving towards its upper limit. It signals a downtrend when it is moving towards the lower limit. The closer the Aroon Oscillator value is to either extreme the stronger the trend.

 

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Trading Education Tutorial

Triangles




Tightening Price Action Leads to a Breakout

There are various forms of consolidation and they occur anytime there is an equilibrium of buyers and sellers. One of the most predictive consolidation formations is the triangle.

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NASDAQ Chart of the Day


 

SMTC is winding up within the boundaries of a large triangle range that could spark a huge breakout move. Watch 13.75 up, and 12.25 down for a breakout.


Daily Trading Signals

 


NYSE Chart of the Day

 

HZO has broken a clear trend line to the downside via a sizeable breakaway gap and increased volume, which is quite bearish. Look for more weakness from this stock.


Daily Trading Signals

 


Daily Market Commentary

Updated Thursday, 11/2 for Friday's market.

Key DOW Levels for 11/3

UP

Above 12,050

DN

Below 11,950


Holding...

- Dow tests 12,000, trades quietly sideways to the Close. The index struggled at 12,000 throughout the day and basically sat idle before closing the session with a 12 point loss.


- The NASDAQ and S&P each held at their respective lows today, as very tight consolidations formed. Look for a breakout from these patterns for key direction.


Summary

The Dow ended the day quietly, as the index basically traded sideways the entire session. The index continues to spar with the 12,000 level, which we will continue to watch the next key move.


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