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Daily Market Commentary



Tuesday, November 07, 2006


Potentially profitable Short-Term Trading Ideas

 

Long candidates:

Agilent Technologies (NYSE: A, $32.93) -- Agilent is a manufacturer of scientific measuring instruments. TheI stock was initially highlighted on the October 16th. The shares then broke through $35, but have since retreated with the technology sector. There should now be support near $33, where the stock completed a recent base. Target is $39.49, which implies a test of the April $39.54 high. Stop loss exit would be at $29.89.

Short Candidates:

Emulex (NYSE: ELX, $19.26) -- Emulex is a maker of computer storage networking products. The stocks was initially flagged on October 30th. ELX has broken an Intermediate trendline, and daily ADX and MACD have both given sell signals. Target is $16.05, where there is lateral support dating to late August. Cover the short at $20.18, a penny above the late-October high.

 

Trading Education Tutorial

Measured and Exhaustion Gaps




Identifiable Patterns After Confirmation Move

We have previously mentioned the three types of gaps that are of relevance to investors - the breakaway gap, the measured (or continuation) gap, and the exhaustion gap. We previously discussed the breakaway gap, but it is important to discuss the measured gap and exhaustion gap at the same time. Why? Because it is difficult to tell one from the other until after the fact.

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NASDAQ Chart of the Day

 

FRNT has formed a tightly-wound triangle consolidation at the highs of the overall advance. Watch for a breakout from this range for key movement: 8.50 up, and 7.80 down.


Daily Trading Signals

 


NYSE Chart of the Day

 

AVP has reversed from major resistance at 33.25, which has held firmly since May. Look for a steady decline from this level, unless resistance is crossed and held.


Daily Trading Signals

 


Daily Market Commentary

Updated Monday, 11/6 for Tuesday's market.

Key DOW Levels for 11/7

UP

Above 12,150

DN

Below 12,000


Big Rally...

- Dow reverses from major trend line, rallies steadily to the Close. The major lower trend line, seen in the Daily and 60 Minute Charts continues to be a major force in the highly bullish uptrend, which will remain the 'norm' as long as it remains in tact.


- The NASDAQ and S&P each rallied solidly today, but looked to have tapered off to the Close. Look for each to hold gains tomorrow, as long as intraday support levels remain in tact.


Summary

The Dow closed the day with a solid gain after rallying fiercely at the Open and maintaining the gains to the Close. The index will likely look to hold gains tomorrow, as a potential continuation pattern forms. Look for continued overall strength above 12,050, unless this level is violated.


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