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Daily Market Commentary



Wednesday, October 04, 2006


Technical Indicators

Momentum

By measuring the amount that a security's price has changed over a given time span, the Momentum indicator provides an indication of a market's velocity and to some degree, a measure of the extent to which a trend still holds true. It can also be helpful in spotting likely reversal points.


While the mathematics are straightforward (subtract the closing price n days ago from the closing price today), do not underrate its value because of its simplicity.


Use the Momentum indicator as a trend-following oscillator similar to the MACD and buy when the indicator bottoms and turns up. Sell when the indicator peaks and turns down. When the Momentum indicator reaches extremely high or low values (relative to historical values) assume a continuation of the current trend...

 

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NASDAQ Chart of the Day


 

WYNN is approaching a major lower trend line at 65.00, which has remained in tact since last October. A downside break through this line could be huge for bears. Watch this zone closely.


Daily Trading Signals

 

 

NYSE Chart of the Day

COP has gotten a huge downside break through major support at 57.00 via a breakaway gap. This support level had previously remained in tact since June of 2005, so a downside break here is huge. Watch for big weakness to follow.


Daily Trading Signals

 


Trading Education Tutorial

Double Tops and Bottoms




Waiting for the Setup to Complete Results in Profits

There are various chart patterns that help us find good reversal candidates. Of the major reversal patterns, the double top or bottom is not only one of the most recognizable, but also one of the most predictive.


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Daily Market Commentary

Updated Tuesday, 10/3 for Wednesday's market


Key DOW Levels for 10/4

UP

Above 11,775

DN

Below 11,650


Record Close

- Dow Dow hits all-time highs, remains beneath key 11,750 zone. The index pierced through 11,750 to set an all-time intraday high and eventually closed at 11,727.34, which is also a record for the Dow.


- The NASDAQ and S&P each pulled back from early lows to follow the Dow's lead today. However, each of these indexes continues to look weak compared to the Dow, which could pull the broader market down.


Summary

The Dow finally set all-time intraday and closing highs today, but could be on the verge of a retracement. Continued overall strength should be seen above 11,650, but a breach of this zone could spark big selling ahead.


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