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Daily Market Commentary



Monday, October 09, 2006


Trading Ideas & Picks

Weekly Market Update

 

Market is in the up trending channel, in which it has been for many weeks now. More than likely it will continue in this channel. 200MA is moving sideways, while shorter term MAs are trending up. Resistance level of NDX is at 1700, but some profit taking and consolidation may very well occur before resistance is taken out. If the up channel is broken to the downward, first line of support will be 1626 - 200MA...


Trading Ideas - Read More

 


Trading Ideas & Picks

The QQQQ Report for October 9th - October 13th, 2006

QQQQ: We've identified a new trendline that should become an area of support if the bears respond to the rally and push the index lower. Another point of interest is how the QQQQ is now substantially above the 200-day moving average, which could also suggest that the long-term trend of the QQQQ is shifting upward again...

 

Trading Picks - Read More

 


Technical Indicators

Chaikin Money Flow

Developed by Marc Chaikin, the Chaikin Money Flow compares total volume to the closing price and the daily highs and lows to determine how many issues are bought and sold of a particular security. It is based upon the assumption that a bullish stock will have a relatively high close price within its daily range and have increasing volume. However, if a stock consistently closed with a relatively low close price within its daily range with high volume, this would be indicative of a weak security. There is pressure to buy when a stock closes in the upper half of a period's range and there is selling pressure when a stock closes in the lower half of the period's trading range. Of course, the exact number of periods for the indicator should be varied according to the sensitivity sought and the time horizon of individual investor.


An obvious bearish signal is when Chaikin Money Flow is less than zero. A reading of less than zero indicates that a security is under selling pressure or experiencing distribution.


A second potentially bearish signal is the length of time that Chaikin Money Flow has remained less than zero. The longer it remains negative, the greater the evidence of sustained selling pressure or distribution. Extended periods below zero can indicate bearish sentiment towards the underlying security and downward pressure on the price is likely...

 

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NASDAQ Chart of the Day


 

CPRT is beginning to fill a large gap to the downside on increased volume, which is quite bearish. Watch 28.75 for signs of a continuation.


Daily Trading Signals

 


NYSE Chart of the Day


 

AYI has filled a large gap to the downside on high volume, which could send this stock much lower. Watch 46.50 for signs of continued weakness from current highs.


Daily Trading Signals

 


Trading Education Tutorial

Support and Resistance Levels




History Tells Us When Securites are Overbought or Oversold

GSupport indicates a level on the chart where we can expect an increase in the demand for a security (buyers take over). How do we know this? By identifying this reaction to this price level in the chart's history...


Daily Market Commentary

Updated Friday, 10/6 for Monday's market


Key DOW Levels for 10/9

UP

Above 11,900

DN

Below 11,800


Consolidating...

- Dow trades sideways throughout session, continues development of consolidation. The index lost just 16 points for the day, but continues to hold firmly within the boundaries of a tight consolidation that has formed from 11,800 to 11,875.


- The NASDAQ and S&P each traded sideways throughout the session to end the day slightly lower. Look for more range movement ahead of the next breakout move.


Summary

The Dow ended the day quietly lower after trading sideways throughout the session. The index continues to build out a tight consolidation at the highs, which could spark the next key breakout move. Watch this range closely Monday.


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