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Daily Market Commentary



Wednesday, October 11, 2006


Technical Indicators

Fisher Transform

The Fisher Transform indicator attempts to be a major turning point indicator and is based on John Ehlers' November 2002 Stocks and Commodities Magazine article, "Using The Fisher Transform."


With distinct turning points and a rapid response time, the Fisher Transform uses the assumption that while prices do not have a normal or Gaussian probability density function (that familiar bell-shaped curve), you can create a nearly Gaussian probability density function by normalizing price (or an indicator such as RSI) and applying the Fisher Transform. Use the resulting peak swings to clearly identify price reversals...

 

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Trading Education Tutorial

Triangles




Tightening Price Action Leads to a Breakout

There are various forms of consolidation and they occur anytime there is an equilibrium of buyers and sellers. One of the most predictive consolidation formations is the triangle.

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NASDAQ Chart of the Day


 

EEFT is winding up within the boundaries of a very tight triangle consolidation. A breakout from this pattern could spark big movement. Watch 25.50 up, and 24.00 down.


Daily Trading Signals

 


NYSE Chart of the Day

SM has formed an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern off key support at 34.00. An upside break through 37.00 could spark a solid upside move back toward recent highs at around 44.00.


Daily Trading Signals

 

 

Daily Market Commentary

Updated Tuesday, 10/10 for Wednesday's market


Key DOW Levels for 10/11

UP

Above 11,900

DN

Below 11,800


In the Range...

- Dow trades sideways throughout session, continues development of consolidation. The index closed another quiet session with a modest 9 point gain, but continues to gear up for a potentially huge breakout move.


- The NASDAQ and S&P each traded slowly sideways today, but look to be developing 'topping out' patterns. Look for a breakout from this range for the next big move.


Summary

The Dow ended the day slightly higher, but continues to hold within the boundaries of the current five-day consolidation. Look for an eventual breakout from this consolidation for the next key move.


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