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Daily Market Commentary



Wednesday, September 13, 2006


Technical Indicators

Moving Average, Displaced

PThe Displaced Moving Average takes the current moving average and shifts it forward (or backward) in time. Use to de-trend the data, for cycle estimation, for phasing or as a simple moving average trading system.


While the first number in the study specifies the period of a simple moving average (e.g., 28 days), the second parameter specifies the shift period (e.g., 5 days); enter a negative number to shift the moving average back (e.g., -14 days). When the moving average is shifted back, the remaining portion of the study is computed with the moving average based on the available data for each day (e.g., 13 days, 12 days, etc.)


The mathematics of a moving average will always force it to follow or lag the actual price data. By centering the moving average, you will have a more accurate picture of the moving average relative to the current price on the chart. A Displaced Moving Average study could be quite useful in locating and estimating cycles...

 

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NASDAQ Chart of the Day

ZBRA is getting an upside break from a highly bullish inverted head-and-shoulders pattern at 34.50. This break could lead to much more strength ahead.


Daily Trading Signals

 


NYSE Chart of the Day

RYL is winding up with a beautiful triangle pattern and is currently testing the upper boundary of this pattern at 44.50. An upside break through the top of this pattern could spark a huge advance from this stock. Also watch 39.00 for a possible downside break.


Daily Trading Signals

 


Daily Market Commentary

Updated Tuesday, 9/12 for Wednesday's market


Key DOW Levels for 9/13

UP

Above 11,525

DN

Current Trend


Huge Breakout & Rally

- Dow breaks triangle to upside, rallies for triple-digit gain. Continued overall strength out of this pattern is likely, but we could see an interim continuation pattern form beforehand.


- The NASDAQ and S&Peach got huge breakouts from their respective ranges, which led to big strength to the Close. Look for signs of a continuation tomorrow.


Summary

The Dow ended the day sharply higher after breaking through the top of a key triangle range today. The index rallied for a triple-digit gain and is now at four month highs. Look for a continuation pattern to form to indicate that continued overall strength is likely.


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Trading Education Tutorial

Measured and Exhaustion Gaps




Identifiable Patterns After Confirmation Move

We have previously mentioned the three types of gaps that are of relevance to investors - the breakaway gap, the measured (or continuation) gap, and the exhaustion gap. We previously discussed the breakaway gap, but it is important to discuss the measured gap and exhaustion gap at the same time. Why? Because it is difficult to tell one from the other until after the fact.


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Trading Signals of the Day

 

Bullish Reversal Triggers







Reversal bars are an objective technique used to time the entry of a trade. Read More... http://daily-stocks.netfirms.com/daily-trading-triggers.htm

 


P.S. - Swing Trading is the art of capturing profits in trending stocks in a relatively short amount of time. Shogun Swing Trading offers Swing & Day Trading Strategies for the full or part-time trader <  » Go here to learn more...


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