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Daily Market Commentary



Tuesday, September 19, 2006


Trading Signals of the Day

 

Bullish Reversal Triggers








Reversal bars are an objective technique used to time the entry of a trade. Read More... http://daily-stocks.netfirms.com/daily-trading-triggers.htm

 


NYSE Chart of the Day




KBH is holding firmly beneath key resistance at 48.00. Watch for a break or bounce off this level for key movement.

Daily Trading Signals

 


NASDAQ Chart of the Day



INPC has formed a clear saucer pattern and has broken the lip of the pattern at 7.50, which is highly bullish. Look for more strength out of this pattern moving forward.

Daily Trading Signals

 


Trading Education Tutorial

Reward:Risk Ratio



Assessing a Trades Potential

When looking at a stock to buy, we look to various tools and techniques to help us assess the probability of its upward movement. However, will it go up is not the only question to ask - we also need to analyze the chart to see how far it is likely to go up and also how much of a loss we are willing to take to allow it to reach it's profit potential. The potential profit of a trade divided by the potential loss of trade is known as the Reward:Risk Ratio.


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Daily Market Commentary

Updated Monday, 9/18 for Tuesday's market


Key DOW Levels for 9/19

UP

Above 11,650

DN

Below 11,525


Winding Up...

- Dow trades sideways throughout session, winds up within sloppy pattern. The index continues to trade within the boundaries of a fairly sloppy pattern as it continues to wind up for the next key move.


- The NASDAQ and S&P each sold off from the day's highs today, but continue to hold within the boundaries of the prior three day range. Look for continued range movement before the next key breakout is seen.


Summary

The Dow ended the day quietly today after moving lower from the day's highs. The index continues to hold beneath the 11,600 level and could be forming a bearish pattern at the highs, which could cause a test of the key lower trend line at 11,450. Watch 11,525 for direction tomorrow.


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Technical Indicators

Force Index

Developed by Dr. Alexander Elder, the Force Index combines price movements and volume to measure the market. Unmodified Force Index results can be rather erratic, better results are achieved by smoothing with an moving average. A 2-day exponential moving average of the Force Index may be used to track the strength of buyers and sellers in the short term while a 13-day exponential moving average better measures the strength of intermediate cycles.


If the Force Index is above zero Elder would say, "the bulls are in control." A negative Force Index would then signal that "the bears are in control." If the Index remains close to zero neither side has control and no strong trends exist.


The greater the distance from zero, the stronger the signal. If the Force Index flattens out it indicates that either volumes are falling or large volumes have failed to significantly move prices. Either situation is likely to precede a reversal.

 

 

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P.S. - Swing Trading is the art of capturing profits in trending stocks in a relatively short amount of time. Shogun Swing Trading offers Swing & Day Trading Strategies for the full or part-time trader <  » Go here to learn more...


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